Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Defensores de Pronunciamiento

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.6	5.9
	1.56	3.5	5.4
	1.49	3.6	6.17
	1.62	3.48	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	5.67 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
58.5%

Draw
25.6%

Defensores de Pronunciamiento
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Defensores de Pronunciamiento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Pronunciamiento than the current prediction. (-2%)

Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Pronunciamiento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Defensores de Pronunciamiento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia y Tiro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.08.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	4:0 ✺
31.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
20.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Douglas Haig	4:3 ✺
16.07.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL
- Defensores de Pronunciamiento
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.08.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Unión de Sunchales	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:0 ✺
20.07.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.05.22	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1
21.11.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	3:2
24.10.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0
24.07.21	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

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