Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 34

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	5
	1.85	2.8	5
	1.8	2.9	5.5
	1.96	2.96	6.02
	1.98	2.92	4.63	Watch
	1.85	2.88	5
	1.85	2.86	5.19
	1.8	2.9	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)	2.92 ↑ (2.65)	5.23 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
50.1%

Draw
32.1%

Deportivo Morón
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

35%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

33.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Tiro's performance.

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Tiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Abello D. 8. Carrasco D. 5. Birge R. 10. Busse W. 11. Heredia F. 7. Rojas F. 9. Attis T.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 11. Bracamonte M. 4. Machuca B. 2. Gomez A. 6. Moreyra F. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Gonzalez G. 5. Vitale J. 10. Disanto L. 7. Berterame G. 9. Romero M. S.
Substitutes
19. Chaves A. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 17. Esparza M. 15. Galetto J. 20. Ibanez M. 13. Monti I. 18. Rocca J. 14. Sanabria I. 16. Villarreal R.	18. Castro M. 19. Curruhinca A. 15. Garcia B. 17. Henry N. 16. Lauro T. 13. Lopez F. 12. Rojas J. (G) 20. Sala S. G. 14. Ulibarri S.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Monasterio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Machuca B. ⚽,
45', Neira E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Attis T. ⚽,
50', Moreyra F. 🟨,
58', Carrasco D. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
62', Vitale J. ↓, Lauro T. ↑,
62', Disanto L. ↓, Curruhinca A. ↑,
72', Birge R. 🟨,
75', Heredia F. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
75', Birge R. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
75', Berterame G. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
82', Bracamonte M. 🟨,
84', Chaves I. F. ↓, Ibanez M. ↑,
85', Vaquero I. M. ↓, Henry N. ↑,
85', Romero M. S. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
90+3', Curruhinca A. 🟨,
90+4', Rufinetti A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Recent matches Gimnasia y Tiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Morón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gimnasia y Tiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.24	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Mitre - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.09.24	Deportivo Morón - Mitre	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Aldosivi - Deportivo Morón	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Colón - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.24	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0

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