Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Mitre		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.63	4.5
	2.15	2.55	4.1
	2.2	2.55	4.33
	1.99	2.67	5.21
	2.16	2.51	4.88	Watch
	2.2	2.5	4.33
	2.19	2.56	4.34
	2.25	2.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	2.56 ↓ (2.73)	4.49 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
43%

Draw
36.3%

Gimnasia y Tiro
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

34.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

37.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	71.4%	0%

Mitre - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma J. (G) 4. Mieres B. 6. Agorreca N. 2. Sanchez M. 3. Diaz C. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Alessandroni J. (C) 11. Gobetto J. P. 7. Posse F. 10. Rosales S. 9. Romero N.	1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 2. Neira E. 6. Tallura A. 3. Abello D. 8. Galetto J. 5. Birge R. 10. Carrasco D. 11. Heredia F. 7. Araujo A. 9. Attis T.
Substitutes
19. Antilef A. 15. Diaz G. 20. Encina E. 14. Ferrari M. 17. Isa Luna K. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 18. Mansilla A. 16. Triverio G. 13. Wiechniak F.	12. Abraham F. (G) 17. Busse W. 19. Chaves A. 15. Esparza M. 20. Gordillo L. 13. Monti I. 18. Rojas F. 14. Sanabria I. 16. Villarreal R.
Coaches
Sciacqua M.	Forestello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Agorreca N. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Rosales S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Chaves I. F. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
59', Posse F. ↓, Antilef A. ↑,
59', Heredia F. ↓, Gordillo L. ↑,
61', Kabalin M. 🟨,
61', Mieres B. 🟨,
69', Romero N. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
69', Gobetto J. P. ↓, Wiechniak F. ↑,
74', Birge R. ↓, Busse W. ↑,
75', Carrasco D. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
75', Galetto J. ↓, Esparza M. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Kabalin M. (Own goal),
84', 2 - 1, Rosales S. ⚽,
90', Kabalin M. ↓, Triverio G. ↑,
90', Mieres B. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Mitre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnasia y Tiro in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gimnasia y Tiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mitre is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.08.24	Güemes - Mitre	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Aldosivi - Mitre	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Mitre - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
05.08.24	Colón - Mitre	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.07.24	Mitre - Temperley	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTTWL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.08.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
12.08.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colón	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Mitre	1:0
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.05.17	Mitre - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1

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