Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.49	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.51	3.95	7.46
	1.48	4.08	6.94
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.44	3.84	6.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	3.85 ↑ (3.73)	6.83 ↓ (7.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
62.4%

Draw
24%

Gimnasia y Tiro
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 5. Baeza C. 50. Andrada T. 22. Lanzini M. 15. Godoy D. 9. Romero B.	1. Papaleo J. (G) 4. Oviedo J. C. 6. Diaz G. 2. Guanini M. 3. Villarreal R. 8. Sivetti F. 5. Birge M. (C) 10. Rinaldi N. 7. Rocca J. 11. Rojas F. 9. Gordillo L.
Substitutes
35. Arias M. 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 2. Mammana E. 12. Montero A. (G) 23. Monzon F. 11. Pellegrini M. 47. Pereyra A. 8. Robertone L. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.	18. Banega T. 21. Borquez T. 15. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 14. Gordillo J. 22. Karabulut F. 16. Montoya W. 17. Rodriguez P. A. 13. Tallura A. 19. Turletti J.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Azconzabal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Diaz G. 🟨,
36', Villarreal R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Godoy D. ⚽, Lanzini M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rocca J. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
60', Montoya W. 🟨,
66', Godoy D. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
70', Romero B. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Rinaldi N. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
74', Baeza C. 🟨,
78', Rojas F. 🟨,
79', Birge M. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
80', Romero B. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
83', Contin N. 🟨,
89', Aliendro R. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
89', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
89', Oviedo J. C. ↓, Turletti J. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Valdes D. ⚽,
90+2', Gordillo L. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vélez is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
07.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLT

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