Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.47	3.04	3.02
	2.27	3.05	3.26
	2.28	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
39.9%

Draw
30.1%

Alcoyano
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gimnàstic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Amorebieta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	UD Logroñés - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Atlético Baleares - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLL
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.05.23	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Alcoyano	1:3 ✺
06.05.23	Alcoyano - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Alcoyano - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Eldense - Alcoyano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.12.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
28.05.22	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
24.09.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	1:0
11.04.21	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1
22.02.15	Alcoyano - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
05.10.14	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcoyano	1:0

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