Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5.25
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.6	3.65	5.4
	1.58	3.67	5.45	Watch
	1.58	3.66	5.67
	1.6	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	5.4 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
57.5%

Draw
25.6%

Real Unión de Irun
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.5%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 16. Lozano M. 22. Esquerdo V. 9. Cabanzon Y. 10. Valle B. 11. Mula A. 21. Cortes J.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 2. Santos S. 5. Dominguez J. 6. Quintana A. 3. Marquez J. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Rivero Q. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A. 24. Doue M. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A.	8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 11. Obieta K. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 21. San Bartolome V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Valle B. ⚽,
8', Dominguez J. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
27', Marquez J. 🟨,
45+3', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
46', Vidorreta A. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Valle B. ⚽,
56', Valle B. 🟨,
61', Garrido D. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
61', Eimil V. ↓, Olaortua I. ↑,
66', Cortes J. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
66', Mula A. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Obieta K. ⚽,
75', Aranzabe A. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
78', Valle B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
78', Esquerdo V. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
88', Novoa G. 🟨,
88', Olaortua I. 🟨,
90+5', Quintana A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	5:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Real Unión de Irun - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	2:2
12.05.24	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	2:1
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1

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