Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.42	3	3
	2.54	2.99	2.97
	2.48	2.92	2.92	Watch
	2.62	3	2.62
	2.48	2.95	2.94
	2.42	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.33)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
37.3%

Draw
31%

Lugo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 4. Lopez D. 11. Astray P. 14. Llorente F. 22. De La Mata J. 23. Ferreiroa F. 7. Berlanga M. 19. Davo 20. Tellechea I.	1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 23. Rodriguez J. 4. Ruiz E. (C) 3. Zoilo A. 8. Gonzalez Y. 24. Martinez R. 21. Ceberio J. 10. Cabo J. 17. Ochoa M. 19. Cuellar J.
Substitutes
10. Borrego J. 1. Carmona P. (G) 25. Changyi L. (G) 8. Diaz H. 18. Gabriel Palmero 28. Garcia G. 9. Gomez D. 26. Marcos H. 6. Olmedilla M. 16. Sanz R.	5. Bernardo 13. Cacharron P. (G) 27. Gonzalez J. 7. Hernandez R. 18. Lesme F. 9. Mendoza B. 6. Nicholas N. 11. Perero G. 20. Sanchez M. 22. Vaquero 14. Vidal D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Davo ⚽, Ferreiroa F. (A),
32', Lizancos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabo J. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
46', Ochoa M. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
51', Lopez D. 🟨,
59', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Olmedilla M. ↑,
59', Astray P. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
64', Cuellar J. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
65', Ceberio J. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
69', Davo ↓, Borrego J. ↑,
69', Tellechea I. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
76', Lopez D. ↓, Gabriel Palmero ↑,
77', Lizancos A. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Leonesa - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWLT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.24	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Tarazona - Lugo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Lugo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLT

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