Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.45	2.87	2.7
	2.6	3	2.8
	2.71	2.88	2.83
	2.61	2.93	2.75	Watch
	2.62	2.94	2.72
	2.6	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.3)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	2.76 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
35.5%

Draw
31.3%

Lugo
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tarazona - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 12. Cedeno E. 14. Buyla J. 8. Romero B. 19. Fuentes A. 21. Pradera M.	1. Lavin M. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 5. Bernardo 4. Ruiz E. 6. Nicholas N. 27. Gonzalez J. 21. Ceberio J. 22. Vaquero 3. Zoilo A. 9. Mendoza B. 10. Cabo J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 7. Areso J. 17. Gil I. 11. Martin J. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 23. Rico M.	13. Cacharron P. (G) 19. Cuellar J. 18. Lesme F. 24. Martinez R. 17. Ochoa M. 11. Perero G. 20. Sanchez M. 14. Vidal D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Ruiz E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Cabo J. ↓, Lesme F. ↑,
66', Gonzalez J. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
66', Romero B. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
72', Pradera M. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
78', Ceberio J. ↓, Vidal D. ↑,
87', Buyla J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Murria V. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 8).

Tarazona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tarazona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarazona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Tarazona - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Tarazona - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Barakaldo - Tarazona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLTL
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
22.11.24	Zamora - Lugo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Lugo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.04.24	Lugo - Tarazona	0:1
13.01.24	Tarazona - Lugo	1:0

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