Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu (Kitakyushu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Giravanz Kitakyushu		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.9	Watch
	3.85	3.52	1.95
	3.55	3.65	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.82	3.36	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.15)	3.39 ↓ (3.56)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giravanz Kitakyushu
24.8%

Draw
27.2%

Sagan Tosu
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

25.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Sugimoto M. (G) 23. Maeda R. 2. Narasaka T. 4. Hasegawa K. 30. Fukumori K. 13. Kumasawa K. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 8. Yoshinaga M. 7. Hirahara R. 9. Kawabe S.	12. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 4. Imazu Y. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 2. Matsumoto N. 6. Sakurai T. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 19. Suzuki D.
Substitutes
6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 40. Kanzawa R. 16. Maruyama S. 31. Otani K. (G) 25. Tsubogo R. 18. Watanabe S. 37. Yoshida K.	26. Ando T. 46. Ejike I. (G) 36. Ikeda T. 76. Isotani S. 23. Kitajima F. 15. Sakai N. 29. Tanaka Y. 20. Toyoda A. 43. Yoshino K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Suzuki D. ⚽, Ogawa S. (A),
40', Okano R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
67', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
67', Ogawa S. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
74', Okano R. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
74', Yoshihara F. ↓, Tsubogo R. ↑,
75', Suzuki D. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
83', Maeda R. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,
83', Kawabe S. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
88', Sakurai T. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
88', Matsumoto N. ↓, Toyoda A. ↑,
90+3', Nishizawa K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tosu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giravanz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sagan Tosu - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Kagoshima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sagan Tosu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gainare Tottori - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sagan Tosu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Sagan Tosu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0

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