Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 8

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	3.05	2	Watch
	4.19	3.1	2.06
	3.2	3.08	2.31	Watch
	3.5	3.2	1.91
	3.64	3.33	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)	3.15 ↓ (3.43)	2.06 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
25.7%

Draw
29.4%

Sagan Tosu
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.1%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Gainare Tottori - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gainare Tottori will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Burns A. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 18. Arai R. 32. Takayanagi F. 21. Yajima S. 14. Kawamura T. 8. Tojo A. 9. Shinoda D. 24. Hoshi K.	1. Izumori R. (G) 5. Nagasawa S. 76. Isotani S. 33. Ogawa S. 22. Yuba K. 20. Toyoda A. 2. Matsumoto N. 7. Sakamoto K. 18. Hyon R. 16. Nishizawa K. 15. Sakai N.
Substitutes
2. Fujita I. 34. Jong S. 15. Kiuchi T. 10. Miki N. 66. Moon M. 7. Ozawa H. 16. Tasei Y. 1. Terasawa Y. (G) 19. Yamamoto S.	4. Imazu Y. 9. Jo 13. Jojo K. 23. Kitajima F. 12. Matsubara S. (G) 41. Matsuoka H. 6. Sakurai T. 29. Tanaka Y. 43. Yoshino K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Izumori R. ↓, Matsubara S. ↑,
45+5', Isotani S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sakamoto K. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
46', Shinoda D. ↓, Miki N. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Yuba K. ⚽, Nishizawa K. (A),
60', Tojo A. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
61', Kawamura T. ↓, Ozawa H. ↑,
65', Sakai N. ↓, Jo ↑,
65', Hyon R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
77', Hoshi K. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
77', Yajima S. ↓, Tasei Y. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Jojo K. ⚽, Nishizawa K. (A),
86', Matsumoto N. ↓, Matsuoka H. ↑,
90+2', Nishizawa K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gainare Tottori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tosu is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 24.61%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J2 J3 League
22.03.26	Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United	0:1 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gainare Tottori - Ryūkyū	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Gainare Tottori	0:1 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Oita Trinita - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 J3 League
22.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Sagan Tosu	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sagan Tosu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sagan Tosu - Kagoshima United	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLL

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