The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Girona 53.3%
Draw 27.2%
Cartagena 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
28.1%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
22.3%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Girona - Cartagena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 9).
Girona has the most likely position - 6 (7.5%), has project points - 60, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Cartagena has the most likely position - 10 (6.33%), has project points - 57, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cartagena is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Girona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Girona is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Girona won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.