Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Burgos		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.25	2.87	3.2
	2.6	2.9	3	Watch
	2.55	2.75	3.05
	2.71	2.89	3.19
	2.3	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.55	3.02	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.3)	2.92 ↓ (3.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
37.7%

Draw
32.1%

Fuenlabrada
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

21.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Burgos has the most likely position - 16 (8.3%), has project points - 52, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 20 (13.66%), has project points - 45, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (45%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Burgos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Montijo - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Burgos - Málaga	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Cartagena - Burgos	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Burgos - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.21	Fuenlabrada - Almería	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Alzira - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
19.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Valladolid - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.05.19	Fuenlabrada - Burgos	1:0
07.01.19	Burgos - Fuenlabrada	1:0

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