The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 30.5%
Draw 33.5%
Real Oviedo 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
29.4%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
21.1%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oviedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (17.45%), has project points - 44, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oviedo has the most likely position - 8 (8.19%), has project points - 60, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Recently Fuenlabrada have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.