The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Girona 42.2%
Draw 33%
Sporting de Gijón 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
33.6%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
22.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting de Gijón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.2%
50%
11.8%
Girona - Sporting de Gijón Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 66.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Girona has the most likely position - 2 (11.53%), has project points - 69, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 4 (7.17%), has project points - 62, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Recent matches Girona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sporting de Gijón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Sporting de Gijón have a series of home games.
Girona will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Girona won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.
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