Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ibrox Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: Lahoz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Canale 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Glasgow Rangers		Napoli

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.9
	4.1	3.6	1.87
	4.3	3.8	1.89
	4.1	3.7	1.88
	4.04	3.66	1.97
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	4.1	3.75	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.29)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Rangers
23.4%

Draw
26%

Napoli
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27.1%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	5.7%	77.4%

Glasgow Rangers - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 230 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 39 - 17%). Napoli will win (votes: 178 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 72% – 82.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Napoli has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (28%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (28%), has a good chance of round of 16 (62%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has big quality 74, importance 54, match rating 64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Rangers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napoli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Napoli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Rangers
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Ajax - Glasgow Rangers	4:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
03.09.22	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	4:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
30.08.22	Glasgow Rangers - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
27.08.22	Glasgow Rangers - Ross County	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.08.22	PSV Eindhoven - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
10.09.22	Napoli - Spezia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Napoli - Liverpool	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.09.22	Lazio - Napoli	1:2 ✺
31.08.22	Napoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Fiorentina - Napoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWTT

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