The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 24.9%
Draw 25.2%
Liverpool 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
25%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
26.4%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
24.4%
55.6%
Napoli - Liverpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
135 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 27 - 20%). Liverpool will win (votes: 75 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 24.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 47.2% – 64%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Napoli has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (13%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a chance of 3rd (37%), has a chance of round of 16 (37%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Liverpool has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (50%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%), has a good chance of round of 16 (80%), has a good chance of qtrs (56%), has a chance of semis (33%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
This event has big quality84, big importance70, big match rating77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3.
Napoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Liverpool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Napoli: Demme D.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Liverpool: Carvalho F.
(Thigh Injury)
Henderson J.
(Thigh Injury)
Jones C.
(Leg Injury)
Keita N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kelleher C.
(Muscle Injury)
Konate I.
(Knee Injury)
Oxlade-Chamberlain A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramsay C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Napoli: Lozano H.
(Face Injury)
Osimhen V.
(Groin Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
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