Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll


	Napoli		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.28	6	9	Watch
	1.28	6	7.5
	1.29	5.8	9
	1.27	5.8	9.8
	1.28	6.33	10.6
	1.29	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.28	5.8	10.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	5.89 ↑ (5.82)	9.41 ↓ (10.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
73.9%

Draw
16.1%

Spezia
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

16.2%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	8.1%	17.6%

Napoli - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 55 - 74.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 13 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 64.3% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 14).

Napoli has the most likely position - 1 (25.32%), has project points - 75, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (72%), has a chance of win league (25%).

Spezia has the most likely position - 19 (12.36%), has project points - 36, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 59, importance 48, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 3.

Napoli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Spezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Napoli is certain favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Demme D. (Injury) Osimhen V. (Thigh Injury) Zedadka K. (Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Amian K. (Injury) Ekdal A. (Injury) Ferrer S. (Injury) Maldini D. (Injury) Nguiamba A. (Injury) Verde D. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Napoli won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
UEFA Champions League
07.09.22	Napoli - Liverpool	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
03.09.22	Lazio - Napoli	1:2 ✺
31.08.22	Napoli - Lecce	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Fiorentina - Napoli	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Napoli - Monza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
04.09.22	Spezia - Bologna	2:2 ✺
31.08.22	Juventus - Spezia	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Inter Milan - Spezia	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Spezia - Empoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
22.05.22	Spezia - Napoli	0:3
22.12.21	Napoli - Spezia	0:1
08.05.21	Spezia - Napoli	1:4
Coppa Italia
28.01.21	Napoli - Spezia	4:2
Italian Serie A
06.01.21	Napoli - Spezia	1:2
Coppa Italia
10.01.17	Napoli - Spezia	3:1

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