Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 29

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)

Referee: Dillon M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Glenavon		Linfield

	1	X	2
	6.3	4.35	1.43
	7.35	4.92	1.39
	5.64	4.59	1.45	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.4
	6.7	4.22	1.46
	6.5	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (5.47)	4.5 ↑ (3.88)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Glenavon
14.3%

Draw
20.6%

Linfield
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

23.5%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Glenavon - Linfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 10. Campbell P. 27. Carlin S. 5. Cartwright L. 28. Falls C. 30. Lindsay C. 29. McGovern P. 2. McMullan J. 32. Mountney J. 4. Murphy H.	1. Johns Ch. (G) 21. Archer J. 26. Baird I. 3. East E. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 15. Hall B. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. 27. McGee E. 7. Millar K. 32. Taylor S.
Substitutes
13. Byrne M. (G) 18. Ferris N. 23. Gilmore G. 24. Harkin M. 17. Lowe K. 36. McGerrigan L. 6. McKeown B.	10. Allen C. 24. Brown S. 23. Frizzell A. 6. Gorrin A. 17. McKee C. 51. Walsh D. (G) 20. Yates M.
Coaches
O'Connor M.	Healy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', East E. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Taylor S. ⚽,
78', East E. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
78', Millar K. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
81', Archer J. 🟨,

Preview

Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.

Glenavon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Linfield is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Linfield is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:54. (average 0.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Linfield: 25.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12:6	6	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
10.02.26	Carrick Rangers - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Glenavon - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Coleraine - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Glenavon - Newington	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW
- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
10.02.26	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	6:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
06.02.26	Limavady United - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
31.01.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
28.01.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
24.01.26	Crusaders - Linfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
20.12.25	Glenavon - Linfield	2:1
20.09.25	Linfield - Glenavon	2:0
15.03.25	Linfield - Glenavon	2:0
21.12.24	Linfield - Glenavon	1:0
20.08.24	Glenavon - Linfield	0:3
10.02.24	Glenavon - Linfield	2:2
16.12.23	Glenavon - Linfield	0:2

Upcoming Matches