Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 27

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Mourneview Park (Lurgan)

Referee: McKenna M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glenavon		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.35	2.08
	3.35	3.61	2.1
	3.01	3.52	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.37	3.36	1.98
	3.14	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.37)	3.44 ↓ (3.86)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glenavon
28.6%

Draw
26.8%

Cliftonville
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

21.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Glenavon - Cliftonville Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carney J. (G) 3. Burns P. 10. Campbell P. (C) 27. Carlin S. 18. Ferris N. 30. Lindsay C. 11. Mallon S. 29. McGovern P. 2. McMullan J. 4. Murphy H. 31. Quinn N.	1. Ridd L. (G) 4. Addis J. 9. Curran R. 8. Hale R. 29. Healy B. 15. Jordan R. . Kelly A. 12. Leppard S. 23. Robertson S. 41. Sheridan J. 6. Wilson H.
Substitutes
13. Byrne M. (G) 5. Cartwright L. 23. Gilmore G. 21. Kee J. 36. McGerrigan L. 6. McKeown B. 32. Mountney J.	42. Fapetu A. 21. Glynn M. 19. Gormley J. 45. McGarry S. 27. McStravick L. 35. Murray O. (G) 2. Pepper C.
Coaches
O'Connor M.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Curran R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, McGovern P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ferris N. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 1, Murphy H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Cliftonville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cliftonville is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Cliftonville: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cliftonville	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
23.01.26	Coleraine - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Glenavon - Newington	4:2 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Portadown - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Premiership
17.01.26	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	1:4 ✺
13.01.26	Ballymena United - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
30.12.25	Larne - Cliftonville	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cliftonville - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bangor - Cliftonville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
13.12.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	5:2
30.08.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	3:1
12.04.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	2:0
15.02.25	Glenavon - Cliftonville	3:1
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.25	Cliftonville - Glenavon	3:2 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
19.10.24	Cliftonville - Glenavon	0:0
17.08.24	Glenavon - Cliftonville	1:2

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