Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Chorley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.15
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.3	3.4	2.14
	2.6	3.25	2.45
	3.2	3.4	2.11
	3.1	3.25	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
30.1%

Draw
27.9%

Chorley
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Gloucester City - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Chorley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chorley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Gloucester City - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTTW
- Chorley
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:1 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Chorley - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Chorley - Runcorn Linnets	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Tamworth - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.04.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	4:3
24.09.22	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:0
30.04.22	Gloucester City - Chorley	1:1
04.09.21	Chorley - Gloucester City	9:0
13.02.21	Gloucester City - Chorley	1:1
10.10.20	Chorley - Gloucester City	1:2
22.04.17	Gloucester City - Chorley	2:2

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