The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 32.3%
Draw 29.8%
Scunthorpe United 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
26.5%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
27.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.
Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Chorley - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Calveley M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Sampson J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Whitehall D. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Chorley is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Scunthorpe is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Chorley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
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