Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.66
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.7	3.6	1.64
	4.77	3.79	1.69
	5	3.5	1.62
	4.65	3.8	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (5.1)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
19.7%

Draw
25.3%

Gateshead
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

24%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

19.3%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gloucester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gateshead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gloucester City - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Gloucester is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gateshead is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
05.03.22	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	0:0 ✺
22.02.22	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Gloucester City - Darlington	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTTW
- Gateshead
English National League North
05.03.22	Gateshead - Kidderminster Harriers	4:0 ✺
26.02.22	AFC Telford United - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
22.02.22	Gateshead - Farsley	3:1 ✺
19.02.22	Gateshead - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Alfreton Town - Gateshead	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.09.21	Gateshead - Gloucester City	3:0
24.11.20	Gateshead - Gloucester City	1:0
12.10.19	Gateshead - Gloucester City	1:0

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