Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Mustapekka Areena (Helsinki)


	Gnistan		JäPS

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.73	3.75	4
	1.78	3.95	4.29
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.76	3.84	4.05
	1.8	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)	3.68 ↓ (3.69)	3.98 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
52.1%

Draw
24.9%

JäPS
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gnistan - JäPS Predictions

Users Predictions: Gnistan will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Koski J. (G) 30. Mabinda J. 16. Rasimus K. 24. Sukunda Z. 5. Takamaki T. 6. Woivalin H. 26. Tiihonen A. 17. Sarr M. 19. Tolonen M. 20. Medo 9. Markkanen E.	1. Laiho J. (G) 77. Karkulowski T. 2. Palmasto T. 4. Ramstrom A. 6. Jama O. 19. Kuosa H. 14. Tapani J. 17. Arila J. 21. Holopainen J. 11. Banza E. 27. Mohamed H.
Substitutes
32. Ala-Iso S. 10. Latonen J. 23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 14. Olander H. 7. Weckstrom L.	5. Arminen T. 8. Heidari R. 30. Kallman R. (G) 7. Khayat H. 23. Kose B. 10. Mokuma P. 28. Zolameso G.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Kettunen T.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 1.

Gnistan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches JäPS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Gnistan have a series of guest games.

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Gnistan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	KTP Kotka - Gnistan	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
27.05.23	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
21.05.23	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	Grankulla IFK - Gnistan	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
13.05.23	TPS - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWW
- JäPS
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
27.05.23	JäPS - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
22.05.23	HIFK - JäPS	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	NuPS - JäPS	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
13.05.23	KPV Kokkola - JäPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkoscup
11.03.23	JäPS - Gnistan	1:0 penalties
04.02.23	JäPS - Gnistan	5:2
Finnish Ykkonen
11.07.22	JäPS - Gnistan	2:1
08.05.22	Gnistan - JäPS	10:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
04.02.22	Gnistan - JäPS	4:5
Club Friendly
18.04.19	JäPS - Gnistan	1:7
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
01.09.18	Gnistan - JäPS	2:2

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