Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KuPS		HPS

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.75	3.40
	1.85	3.65	3.20
	1.85	4.13	3.04
	1.8	4.13	3.37	Watch
	1.82	4.05	3.00
	2.06	3.70	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS
48.5%

Draw
23.1%

HPS
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

24.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

HPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPS than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

KuPS - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arpiainen E. (G) 14. Hahl N. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 8. Oruetxebarria N. 6. Paavilainen L. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. (C) 30. Spenazzatto L. 16. Viinikka T.	1. Roine V. (G) 20. Jaaskelainen O. 12. Kamppi P. 8. Kinnunen A. 15. Oksanen V. 11. Paakkari E. 14. Perttula T. 9. Rinkinen H. 16. Simonen A. (C) 17. Sinivuori F. 19. Stark T.
Substitutes
3. Beal R. M. 20. Harmaala A. 23. Juusela N. 50. Konkka V. 5. Kouva S. 25. Partanen A. 11. Pulkkanen A. 18. Ukkonen P.	7. Kahre O. 2. Kataja M. 13. Kohtamaki A. 23. Korpela T. (G) 24. Nurminen M. 77. Punsar M. 21. Puolakka L. 5. Reis O. 26. Talka M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Rinkinen H. ↓, Kahre O. ↑,
68', Sinivuori F. ↓, Puolakka L. ↑,
69', Leiwo S. ↓, Kouva S. ↑,
74', Oruetxebarria N. ↓, Juusela N. ↑,
80', Kouva S. 🟨,
82', Punsar M. 🟨,
84', Paakkari E. ↓, Talka M. ↑,
84', Perttula T. ↓, Reis O. ↑,
88', Hahl N. ↓, Harmaala A. ↑,
90', Simonen A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 1.

KuPS is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

HPS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

KuPS could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

KuPS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, KuPS has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:17 (averaging 2.8:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KuPS against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 30:4 goals (averaging 3:0.4 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	KuPS W	22	13	3	6	43:29	14	42
4	HPS W	22	12	5	5	34:25	9	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
13.09.26	Åland United - KuPS	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	KuPS - Gnistan	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	HJK - KuPS	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL
- Helsingin Palloseura Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
12.09.26	Gnistan - HPS	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
06.09.26	HPS - HJK	1:3 AET ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.08.26	HPS - Ilves	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	HPS - HJK	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Åland United - HPS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
08.08.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2
29.05.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2
28.03.26	KuPS - HPS	0:0
03.10.25	HPS - KuPS	2:1
06.09.25	KuPS - HPS	5:1
09.08.25	HPS - KuPS	2:3
14.06.25	KuPS - HPS	2:2

KuPS - HPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide