Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Go Ahead Eagles		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.55	3.85	6	Watch
	1.61	3.7	5
	1.69	3.87	5.53
	1.55	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4.05	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.48)	3.84 ↓ (3.96)	5.35 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
58.4%

Draw
24.2%

MVV Maastricht
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

23.4%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

13.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Go Ahead Eagles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MVV Maastricht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	17.9%	21.4%

Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Maastricht will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation) and 17).

Go Ahead in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maastricht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Go Ahead is a favorite.

Recent matches Maastricht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 11 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
05.01.21	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	2:3 ✺
20.12.20	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.12.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWWT
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.01.21	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	0:2 ✺
03.01.21	Volendam - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	4:0 ✺
04.12.20	MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.10.20	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2
16.02.20	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0
09.08.19	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:2
01.03.19	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	2:0
31.08.18	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
19.01.18	Go Ahead Eagles - MVV Maastricht	3:1
18.08.17	MVV Maastricht - Go Ahead Eagles	4:3

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