Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday


	Jong PSV		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.45	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.49	3.2	2.65
	2.71	3.09	2.52
	2.5	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.64	3.54	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
36.6%

Draw
28.2%

Go Ahead Eagles
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.1%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong PSV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.5%	14.1%	39.4%

Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 33 - 46.5%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 28 - 39.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 34.9% – 58.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Jong PSV has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Go Ahead is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.12.20	Jong PSV - Almere City	1:2 ✺
11.12.20	FC Oss - Jong PSV	3:2 ✺
05.12.20	Jong PSV - Roda	1:1 ✺
30.11.20	Jong PSV - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
27.11.20	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.20	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.20	Cambuur - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.12.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	0:0 ✺
04.12.20	Helmond Sport - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
01.12.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.12.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong PSV	1:1
19.04.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong PSV	2:1
03.12.18	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	5:1
10.04.18	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	6:0
12.12.17	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong PSV	1:1
15.01.16	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong PSV	1:2
10.08.15	Jong PSV - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0

Upcoming Matches