The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 20.5%
Draw 20%
De Graafschap 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
23%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
22.5%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
0%
92.9%
MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. 3. Dicke F. 26. van Kempen M. 8. Van Dessel S. 4. Coomans W. 21. Asante D. 38. Klaasen R. 10. Silva Timas I. 9. Braken S. (C)
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 5. Schoppema L. 38. Eijken D. 8. Gijselhart T. 17. Kaninda N. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 11. El Kadiri I. 9. Eggens N.
Substitutes
28. Amgar A. 15. Beydts A. 29. de Jong T. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 18. Jashari L. 14. Kuipers M. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.
31. Bouwman S. (G) 20. Braem T. 18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 19. El Allachi C. 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Braken S. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Eggens N. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Martens N. (A),
29', Besselink R. 🟨,
41', Breugelmans I. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Zaian A. 🟨,
61', Klaasen R. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
61', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Braken S. ⚽, Asante D. (A),
63', 3 - 2, Van Dessel S. ⚽,
71', El Kadiri I. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
71', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
71', Kaninda N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
71', Eijken D. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
74', Dicke F. 🟨,
76', Besselink R. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Kwint K. ⚽, El Allachi C. (A),
85', Tran L. M. ↓, Francis S. ↑,
85', Braken S. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
88', Francis S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
De Graafschap is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.
There will not play in De Graafschap: Meerstadt J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
Watch
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Westerveld S. (G) 
Tran L. M. 
Silva Timas I. 
Kaninda N. 
El Kadiri I. 
Jashari L. 
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