Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: De Adelaarshorst (Deventer)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Go Ahead Eagles		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.35
	2.17	3.6	3.42
	2.13	3.58	3.29	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.16	3.58	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
44.3%

Draw
26.9%

NAC Breda
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Busser J. (G) 29. Adelgaard A. 26. Dirksen J. 4. Kramer J. (C) 5. James D. 16. Edvardsen V. 21. Meulensteen M. 7. Breum J. 19. Slory J. 9. Sigurdarson S. I. 17. Suray M.	99. Bielica D. (G) 25. Valerius C. 3. Odoi D. 8. Leemans C. 4. Kemper B. (C) 16. Balard M. 2. Lucassen B. 14. Sowah K. 90. Holtby L. 24. Ayew A. 7. Brym C.
Substitutes
23. Baeten T. 8. Linthorst E. 18. Margaret R. 1. Plogmann L. (G) 34. Salah Rahmouni Y. 2. Sampsted A. 27. Stokkers F. 10. Tengstedt S. 25. van Zwam G. 33. Verdoni N. (G) 20. Waayers E.	21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 22. Hillen R. 20. Jensen F. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 15. Mahmutovic E. 10. Nassoh M. 11. Paula R. 26. Reulen P. 19. Salama A. 32. Talvitie J.
Coaches
Boel M.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Suray M. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Sigurdarson S. I. ⚽, Slory J. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Breum J. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lucassen B. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
46', Valerius C. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
57', Sowah K. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
57', Holtby L. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
64', Slory J. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
68', Ayew A. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Breum J. ⚽,
75', James D. ↓, Waayers E. ↑,
75', Sigurdarson S. I. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
76', 5 - 0, Breum J. ⚽, Edvardsen V. (A),
77', Breum J. ↓, Tengstedt S. ↑,
78', Suray M. ↓, Baeten T. ↑,
82', 6 - 0, Kramer J. ⚽, Waayers E. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Go Ahead might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Go Ahead: Nauber G. (Broken Leg) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Weijenberg R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Red Card) Soumano M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Go Ahead: Goudmijn K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 15.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	G.A. Eagles	8	2	5	1	19:17	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	NAC Breda - Volendam	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.25	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0
12.04.25	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
21.12.24	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.04.21	NAC Breda - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1
11.12.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	6:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	1:0

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