Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 5
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Godoy Cruz		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.7	2.63	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	3.2	2.65	2.65	Watch
	3.36	2.83	2.69
	3.3	2.68	2.67	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.62	Watch
	3.27	2.72	2.64	Watch
	3.2	2.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	2.75 ↓ (2.96)	2.65 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz
30%

Draw
34.3%

Grêmio
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

31.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Godoy Cruz - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Grêmio (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 2. Rossi T. 21. Meli A. 25. Poggi V. 13. Fernandez N. 32. Abrego G. 11. Barrea D. 27. Andino S. 50. Perez J.	1. Tiago Volpi (G) 18. Joao Pedro 21. Jemerson 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 25. Lucas Esteves 20. Villasanti M. 17. Dodi 99. Olivera C. 8. Edenilson 11. Monsalve M. 22. Braithwaite M.
Substitutes
41. Altamira F. 31. Auzmendi A. 77. Dupuy L. 15. Facello F. 17. Gonzalez M. 5. Leyes B. 3. Moran J. 35. Pascual L. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 23. Rasmussen F. 24. Yanez B.	47. Alysson 77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 15. Camilo Reijers 10. Cristaldo F. 6. Cuellar G. 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 34. Igor Serrote 2. Joao Lucas 36. Luan Candido 14. Nathan 44. Viery
Coaches
Solari E.	Mano Menezes

Preview

Recent matches Godoy Cruz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grêmio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Godoy Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Godoy Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Godoy Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.04.25	San Martín de San Juan - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Lanús	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWTW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Mirassol - Grêmio	4:1 ✺
13.04.25	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.25	Grêmio - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.25	Ceará - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.08.17	Grêmio - Godoy Cruz	2:1
04.07.17	Godoy Cruz - Grêmio	0:1

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