Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
World	Disney+


	Grêmio		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	16	Watch
	1.2	6.25	14
	1.14	7.5	17	Watch
	1.17	6.83	19.86	Watch
	1.18	6	15	Watch
	1.2	6.56	15.4	Watch
	1.14	7.5	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.14)	6.73 ↓ (8.05)	16.32 ↓ (17.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 5

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
80.3%

Draw
14%

Atlético Grau
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.9%

11.7%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Grêmio - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Grêmio (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tiago Volpi (G) 18. Joao Pedro 5. Rodrigo Ely 3. Wagner Leonardo 25. Lucas Esteves 10. Cristaldo F. 20. Villasanti M. (C) 7. Pavon C. 8. Edenilson 99. Olivera C. 19. Arezo M.	1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 6. Rodas E. 5. Guarderas R. 8. Soto D. 7. Garro J. 11. Bandiera N. 14. Bolivar J. 16. F. Rojas
Substitutes
77. Andre Henrique 16. Aravena A. 22. Braithwaite M. 15. Camilo Reijers 17. Dodi 12. Gabriel Grando (G) 53. Gustavo Martins 34. Igor Serrote 21. Jemerson 11. Monsalve M. 44. Viery	2. Cavagna F. 26. Flores A. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 22. Herrera Joel 17. Reyes J. 21. Reynoso A. (G) 9. Sandoval T. 28. Solis A. 18. Trelles A. 20. Vasquez A. 30. Vasquez E.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Garro J. 🟨,
22', Bandiera N. 🟨,
31', Soto D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Joao Pedro 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Olivera C. ⚽, Villasanti M. (A),
69', Edenilson ↓, Dodi ↑,
70', Pavon C. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
76', Rodas E. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
76', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
77', Arezo M. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
79', Rodrigo Ely 🟨,
83', Olivera C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
90', Rostaing J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
90+4', Guarderas R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
90+5', Garro J. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,

Preview

Grêmio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Grau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Grêmio have a series of guest games.

Recently Grau have a series of home games.

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.25	Ceará - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.03.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Athletic Club - Grêmio	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTW
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.03.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Atlético Grau - Cusco	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTWW

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