Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
World	Disney+


	Godoy Cruz		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	8	Watch
	1.49	4.1	6.75
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.52	3.87	7.44	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7	Watch
	1.5	3.9	7.27	Watch
	1.5	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	3.84 ↑ (3.63)	7.21 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 6

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz
62.7%

Draw
24.4%

Sportivo Luqueño
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

26.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Godoy Cruz's performance.

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Luqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Godoy Cruz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Godoy Cruz - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 29. Jara L. 26. Mendoza M. 23. Rasmussen F. 21. Meli A. 13. Fernandez N. 41. Altamira F. 25. Poggi V. 27. Andino S. 11. Barrea D. 77. Dupuy L.	12. Aguilar A. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 23. Aguilar P. 5. Villalba A. 13. Torres I. 16. Benitez A. 20. Rios R. D. 19. Perez M. 29. Santander F. 27. Baez J. 11. Vera E.
Substitutes
32. Abrego G. 4. Arce L. 31. Auzmendi A. 5. Leyes B. 3. Moran J. 20. Parzajuk K. 35. Pascual L. 50. Perez J. 10. Pozzo T. A. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 2. Rossi T. 24. Yanez B.	17. Ayala W. 14. Benitez F. 3. Brizuela A. 37. Comas L. 40. Espinola A. (G) 9. Gonzalez W. 10. Hauche G. 6. Marchio J. 22. Ocampos S. 24. Parra A. 25. Ramos J. 8. Rodriguez W.
Coaches
Solari E.	Morinigo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Mendoza M. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
33', Aguilar P. 🟨,
34', Barrea D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Baez J. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
46', Perez M. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
61', Barrea D. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
61', Vera E. ↓, Ayala W. ↑,
72', Meli A. 🟨,
74', Jara L. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
74', Fernandez N. ↓, Pascual L. ↑,
81', Andino S. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
81', Dupuy L. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
84', Rios R. D. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
87', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Pascual L. ⚽, Poggi V. (A),
90+4', Pascual L. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Godoy Cruz is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.04.25	Atlético Tembetary - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.03.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTLW

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