Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Gambarte (Mendoza)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Godoy Cruz		Independiente

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.57	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.45
	3	2.82	2.65	Watch
	3.07	2.91	2.75
	2.78	3.13	2.64	Watch
	2.97	2.82	2.63	Watch
	3.2	2.82	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.63)	2.89 ↓ (3.05)	2.59 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Godoy Cruz
31.2%

Draw
32.5%

Independiente
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Godoy Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	53.8%	38.5%

Godoy Cruz - Independiente Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Arce L. 26. Mendoza M. 5. Escobar J. 3. Moran J. 25. Poggi V. 13. Fernandez N. 22. Fernandez P. 8. Valverde A. 31. Auzmendi A. 77. Dupuy L.	33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 32. Paredes F. 22. Zabala F. 5. Loyola F. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 10. Cabral L. 7. Montiel S. 25. Pussetto I. 19. Abaldo M.
Substitutes
41. Altamira F. 11. Barrea D. 42. Barrionuevo B. 17. Claa N. (G) 16. Gonzalez M. 21. Meli A. 44. Menegon T. 59. Montoya W. 23. Rasmussen F. 2. Rossi T. 20. Sosa M. 24. Yanez B.	9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 8. Galdames P. 29. Godoy L. 11. Mancuello F. 23. Marcone I. 17. Mazzantti W. 28. Taborda E. 27. Tarzia D. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Montiel S. (Pen),
29', Paredes F. 🟨,
30', Moran J. 🟨,
31', Sosa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Poggi V. ↓, Altamira F. ↑,
46', Dupuy L. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Auzmendi A. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
59', Valverde A. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
63', Montiel S. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
63', Zabala F. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
70', Fernandez P. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
71', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
71', Loyola F. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
75', Valenzuela M. 🟨,
76', Escobar J. ↓, Rasmussen F. ↑,
85', Cabral L. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
90+4', Paredes F. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Godoy Cruz won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Godoy Cruz won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.09.25	San Lorenzo - Godoy Cruz	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Godoy Cruz - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Godoy Cruz - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Platense - Godoy Cruz	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTWL
- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.09.25	Racing - Independiente	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Independiente - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Independiente - Banfield	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.25	Independiente - Universidad de Chile	Abandoned ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLT?

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	4:0
26.10.24	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:1
Copa Argentina
28.08.24	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	0:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	2:1
21.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.03.22	Godoy Cruz - Independiente	3:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.21	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	1:4

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