Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 35

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.87	7.57
	1.57	3.65	6.45	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.56	3.68	6.53
	1.53	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.68)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	6.57 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
60.7%

Draw
25.1%

Guarani
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

27%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goiás's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goiás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Goiás - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: Goiás will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (G) 27. Jhon Vasquez 14. Lucas Ribeiro (C) 37. Messias 6. Sander 77. Marcao Silva 50. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 31. Welliton 18. Breno Herculano 80. Rildo	1. Pegorari (G) 29. Yan Henrique 3. Matheus Mancini 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 17. Jefferson 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 2. Heitor 19. Joao Victor 9. Bruno Mendes 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
16. Aloisio 13. Anthony 19. Edson 99. Edu 41. Ezequiel Oliveira (G) 25. Ian Luccas 97. Larson 70. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 10. Regis 29. Reynaldo 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)	5. Anderson Leite . Conte F. 23. Douglas Bacelar 6. Emerson 11. Estevao 39. Lohan 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Marlon Maranhao 47. Pierre
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Breno Herculano ⚽, Sander (A),
12', Bruno Mendes ↓, Lohan ↑,
25', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
40', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
45+2', Rildo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yan Henrique ↓, Pierre ↑,
46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
57', Rildo ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
57', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Edson ↑,
65', Joao Victor ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
70', Juninho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
71', Rafael Gava ↓, Regis ↑,
75', Edson 🟨,
75', Jefferson 🟨,
79', Regis 🟨,
81', Anderson Leite 🟨,
87', Welliton ↓, Aloisio ↑,
88', Pierre 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Goiás is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guarani is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

There will not play in Guarani: Airton (Injury) Marlon Douglas (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
25.10.24	Goiás - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Chapecoense - Goiás	0:4 ✺
17.10.24	América Mineiro - Goiás	2:2 ✺
13.10.24	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Sport Recife - Guarani	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Ponte Preta - Guarani	0:1 ✺
14.10.24	Guarani - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Botafogo SP - Guarani	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.07.24	Guarani - Goiás	2:3
22.11.21	Guarani - Goiás	0:2
13.08.21	Goiás - Guarani	2:1

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