The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 60.3%
Draw 27.1%
Guarani 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
24.4%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
23.5%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
11.1%
11.1%
Sport Recife - Guarani Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 16. Igor Carius 44. Chico 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 29. Dalbert 7. Fabinho 94. Felipe 19. Lucas Lima 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Gustavo Coutinho 18. Wellington Silva
89. Vladimir (G) 2. Heitor 29. Yan Henrique 23. Douglas Bacelar 13. Matheus Salustiano (C) 17. Jefferson 18. Matheus Bueno 33. Gabriel Bispo 10. Luan Dias 19. Joao Villela 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 2. Allyson 20. Di Placido L. 47. Fabio Matheus 6. Felipinho 77. Lenny Lobato 43. Luciano 40. Luciano Castan 93. Palacios H. 48. Pedro Martins 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto
9. Bruno Mendes 31. Douglas Borges (G) 6. Emerson 12. Lucas Adell 21. Lucas Araujo 77. Marlon Maranhao 30. Pedro Henrique 47. Pierre 20. Reinaldo
Coaches
Miguel P.
Aal A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Fabinho ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
38', Heitor 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Felipe (A),
45+1', 3 - 0, Felipinho ⚽, Igor Carius (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Heitor ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
46', Joao Villela ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
59', Igor Carius ↓, Di Placido L. ↑,
59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
64', Luan Dias ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
64', Matheus Bueno ↓, Pierre ↑,
75', Fabinho ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
75', Lucas Lima ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
76', Matheus Salustiano ↓, Lucas Adell ↑,
85', Bruno Mendes 🟨,
87', Felipe ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Chico ⚽, Fabio Matheus (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Recife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Guarani is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Recife is certain favorite.
There will not play in Recife: Caique Franca
(Injury)
Denis
(Injury)
Palacios H.
(Injury)
Renzo
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
There will not play in Guarani: Airton
(Injury)
Marlon Douglas
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Sport Recife - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 62.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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