Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 5

Date: 10 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Flamengo		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13	Watch
	1.27	5.75	11
	1.27	6	10.5
	1.26	6.35	11.92
	1.24	6.05	11.75	Watch
	1.26	5.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)	5.88 ↑ (5.25)	11.36 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Flamengo
75.5%

Draw
16.2%

Goiás
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.1%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

17.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	4.8%	19%

Flamengo - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Goiás will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Flamengo has the most likely position - 1 (16.07%), project points - 67, currently - 3, a very small chance of relegated (1%), a chance of win league (16%).

Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (18.94%), project points - 37, currently - 3, a good chance of relegated (56%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 50, importance 38, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Goiás is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Filipe Luis (Injury) Matheuzinho (Injury) Varela G. (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes (Injury) Lucas Halter (Red Card) Luiz Filipe (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
07.05.23	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.23	Racing - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.23	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Flamengo - Maringá	8:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.23	Internacional RS - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLWL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
07.05.23	Goiás - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.23	Internacional RS - Goiás	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Goiás - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.09.22	Goiás - Flamengo	1:1
21.05.22	Flamengo - Goiás	1:0
18.01.21	Goiás - Flamengo	0:3
13.10.20	Flamengo - Goiás	2:1
31.10.19	Goiás - Flamengo	2:2
14.07.19	Flamengo - Goiás	6:1
08.11.15	Flamengo - Goiás	4:1

Upcoming Matches