The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo RJ 35%
Draw 31.1%
Corinthians 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
29.4%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
28.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
50%
37.5%
Botafogo RJ - Corinthians Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Neto (G) 4. Ponte M. 5. Ferraresi N. 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 75. Huguinho 6. Medina C. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 10. Montoro A. 37. Barria K. 19. Arthur Cabral
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 19. Carrillo A. 14. Raniele 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 77. Lingard J. 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
14. Barrera J. 27. Caio Roque 45. Caio Valle 88. Edenilson 34. Justino G. 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Marcal 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S. 2. Vitinho
80. Alex Santana 29. Allan 49. Andre 26. Angileri F. 61. Dieguinho 56. Gui Negao 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.
Coaches
Carvalho F.
Diniz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Villalba Jaume L. M. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Garro R. ⚽, Lingard J. (A),
20', Ponte M. 🟨,
32', 2 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Barria K. (A),
39', Medina C. 🟨,
45+6', Lingard J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barria K. ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
46', Lingard J. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
63', Raniele ↓, Andre ↑,
66', Ponte M. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Kauan Toledo (A),
71', Arthur Cabral 🟨,
73', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,
74', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
76', Breno Bidon ↓, Allan ↑,
77', Garro R. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
77', Carrillo A. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
80', Medina C. ↓, Justino G. ↑,
80', Montoro A. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
81', Barboza A. 🟨,
90+1', Alex Telles 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
Botafogo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Corinthians is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Botafogo could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Injury)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Injury)
There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon
(Heel Injury)
Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Gabriel Paulista
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Kayke
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Botafogo RJ
29
9
8
12
42:47
-5
35
16
Corinthians
29
8
8
13
30:34
-4
32
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.
Corinthians - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.52%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Neto (G) 
Ponte M. 
Ferraresi N. 
Barboza A. 
Barria K. 
Carrillo A. 
Lingard J. 
Barrera J. 
Carvalho F. 
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