Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 4

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Goiás		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.71
	4.8	3.7	1.74	Watch
	5.26	3.89	1.71
	4.9	3.74	1.71	Watch
	4.7	3.7	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.45)	3.81 ↑ (3.59)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
19.5%

Draw
25%

Palmeiras
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

26%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Goiás - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Goiás has the most likely position - 20 (15.98%), project points - 39, currently - 3, a good chance of relegated (51%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Palmeiras has the most likely position - 1 (30.65%), project points - 73, currently - 7, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of win league (31%).

This event has quality 51, importance 48, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 1.

Recent matches Goiás is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palmeiras is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Goiás have a series of guest games.

In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.

There will not play in Goiás: Gabriel Novaes (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Atuesta E. (Injury) Bruno Tabata (Injury) Marcos Rocha (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.04.23	Internacional RS - Goiás	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Goiás - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTL
- Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores
03.05.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.04.23	Palmeiras - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Tombense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.23	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
07.08.22	Palmeiras - Goiás	3:0
16.04.22	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:1
21.11.20	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:0
15.08.20	Palmeiras - Goiás	1:1
05.12.19	Palmeiras - Goiás	5:1
07.09.19	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:2
02.09.15	Goiás - Palmeiras	1:0

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