Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 3 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.98
	4.1	3.3	1.98
	4.26	3.39	1.98
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.94	3.38	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.25	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.45)	3.28 ↓ (3.36)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
23.9%

Draw
28.6%

Palmeiras
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

27.3%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Barcelona Guayaquil in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Palmeiras is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Palmeiras will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barcelona Guayaquil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona Guayaquil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.04.23	Técnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.04.23	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
29.04.23	Palmeiras - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Tombense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.23	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Palmeiras - Cuiabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.08.17	Palmeiras - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 penalties
05.07.17	Barcelona Guayaquil - Palmeiras	1:0

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