Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.5
	2.95	2.95	2.55
	3.04	3.07	2.62
	2.99	2.93	2.57	Watch
	2.88	3	2.5
	3.01	3.02	2.49	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.7)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.55 (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Goiás
31.8%

Draw
31.5%

Santos
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	53.8%	38.5%

Goiás - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Santos will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (G) 20. Diego 14. Lucas Ribeiro (C) 29. Reynaldo 6. Sander 77. Marcao Silva 50. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 31. Welliton 99. Edu 80. Rildo	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 32. Jair 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca 20. Giuliano (C) 22. Otero R. 11. Guilherme 19. Wendell
Substitutes
16. Aloisio 18. Breno Herculano 12. Cristiano 4. David Braz 22. Diego Caito 25. Ian Luccas 27. Jhon Vasquez 88. Luiz Henrique 70. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 33. Thiago Galhardo 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G)	25. Alison Lopes 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 66. Laquintana I. 14. Luan Peres 88. Patrick 7. Pedrinho 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', Welliton 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Rildo ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Rildo ⚽, Marcao Silva (A),
20', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
36', Rafael Gava 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Giuliano (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Otero R. ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
46', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
46', Edu ↓, Thiago Galhardo ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Welliton ⚽, Thiago Galhardo (A),
66', Wendell ↓, Furch J. ↑,
66', Diego Pituca ↓, Serginho ↑,
77', Rildo ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
77', Welliton ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
80', Guilherme ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
85', Juninho ↓, David Braz ↑,
86', Rafael Gava ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
90+1', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
90+2', Jair 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goiás won 2.

Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury)

There are questionable in Goiás: Aloisio (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Goiás won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:35 (average 1.3:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.24	Coritiba - Goiás	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Goiás - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Sport Recife - Goiás	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.24	Santos - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
19.09.24	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Santos - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Brusque - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
19.06.24	Santos - Goiás	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.23	Goiás - Santos	0:1
09.07.23	Santos - Goiás	4:3
05.09.22	Santos - Goiás	1:2
15.05.22	Goiás - Santos	1:0
24.01.21	Santos - Goiás	3:4
04.10.20	Goiás - Santos	2:3

Upcoming Matches