Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 28

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	4.1	Watch
	2	2.95	3.8
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.13	3.1	4.21
	2.06	2.96	4.12	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.02	3.15	3.95	Watch
	2.1	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.94 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
45.2%

Draw
31%

Mirassol
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Goiás - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (G) 22. Diego Caito 37. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 77. Marcao Silva 19. Edson 50. Juninho 27. Jhon Vasquez 99. Edu 31. Welliton 36. DG	23. Alex Muralha (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 4. Luiz Otavio 31. Ze Mario 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho (C) 10. Chico Kim 77. Iury Castilho 7. Fernandinho 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
18. Breno Herculano 4. David Braz 25. Ian Luccas 88. Luiz Henrique 70. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 29. Reynaldo 80. Rildo 9. Rodriguez A. 6. Sander 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 5. Wellington	2. Alex Silva 16. Bruno Matias 14. Isaque 99. Leo Gamalho 3. Lucas Gazal 98. Marquinhos 1. Vanderlei (G)
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
29', Edson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dellatorre ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
59', Neto Moura 🟨,
60', Edson ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
61', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
65', Edu ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
73', Ze Mario ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
73', Iury Castilho ↓, Bruno Matias ↑,
79', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Leo Gamalho ⚽,
85', Lucas Ribeiro ↓, David Braz ↑,
85', Marcao Silva ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
86', Fernandinho ↓, Marquinhos ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Goiás won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.24	Sport Recife - Goiás	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Goiás - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ituano - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.24	Guarani - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Mirassol - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ituano - Mirassol	3:2 ✺
03.09.24	Mirassol - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Paysandu - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.06.24	Mirassol - Goiás	1:0

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