Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 27

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Botafogo SP		Santos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4.2	3	1.87
	4.5	3.1	1.9
	4.82	3.2	1.94
	4.1	3.12	2	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.91
	4.57	3.25	1.86	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.27)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
20.9%

Draw
30%

Santos
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

29.6%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

30.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Botafogo SP - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Santos will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Raphael 3. Fabio Sanches 4. Bernardo Schappo 7. Negueba 5. Abdulai S. 8. Joao Costa 6. Patrick Brey 10. Douglas Baggio (C) 9. Alexandre Jesus 11. Victor Andrade	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 32. Jair 4. Gil 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca 20. Giuliano 66. Laquintana I. 19. Wendell 11. Guilherme (C)
Substitutes
21. Arthur Mosca 15. Carlos Manuel 13. Ericson 19. Felipinho 18. Fillipe Soutto 20. Gustavo Bochecha 16. Jean Victor 12. Michael (G) 14. Pedro Costa 17. Ronald Camarao 23. Thalles 22. Thassio	12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 15. Joao Basso 14. Luan Peres 88. Patrick 7. Pedrinho 8. Rincon T. 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho 33. Souza 27. Willian Bigode
Coaches
Gomes P.	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Abdulai S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Giuliano ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Laquintana I. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
68', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
73', Rodrigo Ferreira 🟨,
74', Negueba ↓, Ronald Camarao ↑,
75', Patrick Brey ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
78', Diego Pituca 🟨,
82', Giuliano ↓, Willian Bigode ↑,
82', Diego Pituca ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
82', Joao Costa ↓, Gustavo Bochecha ↑,
83', Fabio Sanches 🟨,
88', Douglas Baggio ↓, Felipinho ↑,
88', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
90', Joao Schmidt ↓, Sandry ↑,
90+4', Victor Andrade 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 2.

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Santos is a favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Chapecoense - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
21.08.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Botafogo SP - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWTWT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Santos - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Brusque - Santos	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Santos - Ponte Preta	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Santos - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
21.08.24	Guarani - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.06.24	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.24	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:1
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:0
11.04.23	Botafogo SP - Santos	0:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.22	Santos - Botafogo SP	0:1
10.04.21	Santos - Botafogo SP	0:0
10.02.20	Santos - Botafogo SP	2:0

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