Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 27

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Sport Recife		Goiás

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.68	3.4	5.5
	1.7	3.52	5.88
	1.69	3.42	5.56	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.5	5.49	Watch
	1.68	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	5.49 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Goiás
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Sport Recife - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Goiás will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 16. Igor Carius 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 44. Chico 29. Dalbert 8. Dominguez F. 5. Fernandez J. 19. Lucas Lima 59. Ortiz C. 30. Chrystian Barletta 99. Ze Roberto	23. Tadeu (C) 22. Diego Caito 37. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 36. DG 77. Marcao Silva 19. Edson 50. Juninho 27. Jhon Vasquez 99. Edu 31. Welliton
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 2. Allyson 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 6. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Lenny Lobato 40. Luciano Castan 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 21. Thiago Couto (G) 18. Wellington Silva	12. Cristiano 4. David Braz 25. Ian Luccas 88. Luiz Henrique 70. Nathan Melo 7. Paulo Baya 29. Reynaldo 80. Rildo 9. Rodriguez A. 33. Thiago Galhardo 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 5. Wellington
Coaches
Miguel P.	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Edu ⚽, Messias (A),
17', Dominguez F. ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
23', 1 - 1, Ze Roberto (Pen),
26', DG 🟨,
31', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
43', Rafael Thyere 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dalbert ↓, Felipinho ↑,
54', Ortiz C. 🟨,
56', Pedro Vilhena 🟨,
60', DG ↓, Cristiano ↑,
61', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
61', Welliton ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
61', Ze Roberto ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
64', Messias 🟨,
66', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,
66', Edson ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
66', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
75', Edu ↓, Thiago Galhardo ↑,
79', Juninho 🟨,
81', Diego Caito 🟨,
82', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
90+5', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
90+6', Thiago Galhardo 🟨,
90+7', Gustavo Coutinho (Pen),
90+9', Felipinho 🟨,
90+10', David Braz 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 2.

Recife is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recife is a favorite.

There will not play in Recife: Palacios H. (Injury) Pedro Martins (Injury) Romarinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Recife: Di Placido L. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Recife won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Avaí - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Sport Recife - Ituano	3:2 ✺
27.08.24	Brusque - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWL
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.24	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Goiás - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ituano - Goiás	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	Goiás - Brusque	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.05.24	Goiás - Sport Recife	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
26.12.20	Goiás - Sport Recife	1:0
06.09.20	Sport Recife - Goiás	2:1
10.09.15	Goiás - Sport Recife	1:0
04.06.15	Sport Recife - Goiás	1:0
22.10.14	Sport Recife - Goiás	0:1
20.07.14	Goiás - Sport Recife	0:0

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