Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Goiás		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.84	3.05	4.1	Watch
	1.92	2.95	4.4
	1.97	3.09	4.93
	1.85	3	4.6
	1.93	3.2	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.35)	4.44 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
48.7%

Draw
30.4%

Vitória Salvador
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Goiás - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Recent matches Goiás is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Goiás won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
27.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Goiás	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Goiás - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
21.09.21	Avaí - Goiás	1:0 ✺
18.09.21	Goiás - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
11.09.21	CRB Maceio - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Londrina - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
22.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
17.09.21	Brusque - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
10.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Remo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.07.21	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
08.10.14	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	2:2
28.05.14	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	0:0
02.10.13	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	2:1
07.07.13	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.12	Vitória Salvador - Goiás	3:1
23.06.12	Goiás - Vitória Salvador	4:3

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