Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vitória Salvador		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.4
	2.18	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.24	3.11	3.86
	2.29	3.1	3.47	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.28	3.1	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.21)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	3.59 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
42.8%

Draw
30.8%

Coritiba
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Vitória Salvador - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (C) 45. Nathan Mendes 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 88. Ze Vitor 95. Caique Goncalves 33. Erick 6. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Matheuzinho 91. Rene	22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Tinga 23. Tiago Coser 3. Maicon 6. Felipe Jonatan 21. Thiago Santos 19. Gomez S. (C) 11. Lucas Ronier 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 31. Lopez R. 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 71. Yuri (G)	33. Alves D. 67. Benassi (G) 14. Enzo Vagner 88. Fernando Sobral 39. Gustavo 16. Joao Almeida 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 13. Keiller (G) 78. Renato Marques 4. Rodrigo Moledo 36. Vini Paulista 29. Willian Oliveira
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Rene ⚽, Luan Candido (A),
23', Thiago Santos 🟨,
26', Tiago Coser 🟥,
28', 2 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽, Erick (A),
32', Matheuzinho 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Pedro Rocha ⚽, Tinga (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
46', Ze Vitor 🟨,
55', 3 - 1, Tarzia D. ⚽, Rene (A),
61', 4 - 1, Erick (Penalty Awarded),
63', Lucas Ronier ↓, Joao Pedro Chermont ↑,
63', Pedro Rocha ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
63', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
64', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ronald Lopes ↑,
64', Ze Vitor ↓, Edenilson ↑,
75', Josue ↓, Gustavo ↑,
75', Caca ↓, Neris ↑,
79', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
86', Rene 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga (Broken Leg) Claudinho (Muscle Injury) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Pedro H. (Hand Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Riccieli (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Coritiba: Breno Lopes (Yellow Cards) Bruno Melo (Red Card) Jacy (Red Card) Keno (Knee Injury) Pedro Morisco (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Renato Kayzer (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Maicon (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Piauí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLTW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Grêmio - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Santos - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.26	Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.09.21	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	0:0
22.06.21	Coritiba - Vitória Salvador	1:0
30.11.19	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	1:2
27.08.19	Coritiba - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
28.08.17	Coritiba - Vitória Salvador	0:1
27.05.17	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	0:1
28.11.16	Coritiba - Vitória Salvador	0:1

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