Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 22

Date: 7 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)


	Londrina		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.9	2.37
	3.05	2.95	2.38
	3.28	3.15	2.43
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.16	2.9	2.52	Watch
	3.05	2.95	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
29.8%

Draw
31.5%

Vitória Salvador
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Londrina - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Londrina: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Neneca (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Gabriel 22. Rafael Vaz 6. Marcos Pedro 5. Joao Paulo (C) 8. Moises Gaucho 10. Higor Leite 11. Peu 9. Vitor Feijao 7. Paulinho Moccelin	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 5. Yan Souto 13. Camutanga 4. Wagner Leonardo 2. Zeca (C) 8. Gege 21. Rodrigues E. 6. Matheuzinho 10. Wellington Nem 9. Iury Castilho 7. Mateus Goncalves
Substitutes
16. Ariel 14. Arthur Felix 21. Everton 20. Fabricio Baiano 13. Garraty 3. Guilherme Lacerda 17. Iago Dias 15. Luan Freitas 19. Lucas Coelho 18. Rodrigo Alves 1. Saulo (G) 23. Vinicius Jau	20. Giovanni Augusto 18. Jhonny Lucas 3. Joao Victor 17. Jose Hugo 15. Leo Gomes 16. Marcelo Nunes 14. Marco Antonio 22. Railan 11. Thiago Lopes 12. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 19. Welder
Coaches
Souza E.	Conde L.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Londrina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Londrina: Diego Jardel (Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Dionisio (Injury) Felipe Vieira (Injury) Matheus Trindade (Injury) Osvaldo (Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.23	Londrina - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	ABC - Londrina	0:0 ✺
24.07.23	Londrina - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina	3:0 ✺
15.07.23	Londrina - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLW
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.23	Vitória Salvador - ABC	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Ponte Preta - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
24.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
16.07.23	Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.04.23	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	2:0
25.09.21	Londrina - Vitória Salvador	1:0
26.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	1:2
18.10.19	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	0:1
23.07.19	Londrina - Vitória Salvador	3:1

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