Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Gor Mahia		Talanta

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.26	8.33
	1.33	4.41	9.26	Watch
	1.28	4.55	10.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.56)	4.41 ↑ (3.25)	9.23 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
69.6%

Draw
20.5%

Talanta
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

27.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

25.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gor Mahia's performance.

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gor Mahia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gor Mahia - Talanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Talanta (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Talanta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Osoro E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 4.

Gor Mahia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Talanta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Gor Mahia have a series of guest games.

In this match Gor Mahia is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gor Mahia to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gor Mahia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
19.04.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Gor Mahia - Bandari	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWW
- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
20.04.25	Talanta - Shabana	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Talanta	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Talanta - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Talanta	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Talanta - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
04.12.24	Talanta - Gor Mahia	2:3
19.06.24	Gor Mahia - Talanta	2:4
17.12.23	Talanta - Gor Mahia	0:2
26.04.23	Talanta - Gor Mahia	1:2
26.01.23	Gor Mahia - Talanta	3:0
16.01.22	Gor Mahia - Talanta	2:0

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