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Current Win Probability
AFC Leopards 26%
Draw 31.8%
Gor Mahia 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
32.6%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.2%
32.5%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-2%)
AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 1.
Leopards has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gor Mahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Leopards has had a series of home games.
Gor Mahia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gor Mahia
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
5
Leopards
0
0
0
0
0:0
0
0
Last Results with these Odds
Gor Mahia - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.