The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gorica 28.1%
Draw 28.8%
Varaždin 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
26.5%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
25.9%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Gorica - Varaždin Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Varaždin will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Gorica (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Josipovic R. (G) 45. Peric S. 32. Filipovic J. (C) 15. Stevanovic D. 5. Costa G. 6. Lacoux T. 66. Frigan J. 4. Custovic K. 24. Pavicic D. 25. Bogojevic B. 9. Mijic P.
33. Silic J. (G) 23. Maglica F. 13. Mladenovski M. 16. Tepsic N. 20. Sikosek G. 28. Canjuga I. 24. Marina M. (C) 10. Latkovic A. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 9. Juric S.
Substitutes
7. Bakic O. 2. Braut F. 10. Brodic F. 26. Carole K. 34. Cvijanovic I. 50. Erceg A. 18. Kardum B. 71. Matijas D. (G) 8. Pranjic J. 67. Prgomet T. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)
17. Akrap V. 44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 3. Durakovic E. 8. Duvnjak T. 5. Lesjak S. 1. McCrorie R. (G) 21. Posavec I. 30. Posinkovic L. 4. Skaricic L. 11. Uchegbu E.
Coaches
Carevic M.
Safaric N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Frigan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Custovic K. ↓, Braut F. ↑,
50', Lacoux T. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Bogojevic B. ⚽, Frigan J. (A),
57', 1 - 1, Mamic L. ⚽, Juric S. (A),
57', Mijic P. ↓, Brodic F. ↑,
57', Lacoux T. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
62', Costa G. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
63', Juric S. ↓, Akrap V. ↑,
63', Canjuga I. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
63', Tavares I. ↓, Uchegbu E. ↑,
78', Marina M. 🟨,
81', Pavicic D. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
85', Latkovic A. ↓, Posavec I. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Akrap V. ⚽,
88', Mamic L. ↓, Skaricic L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Cvijanovic I. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
Gorica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Varaždin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Varaždin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Inactive)
Kavelj A.
(Inactive)
Moustapha H. I.
(Inactive)
Sule W.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Varaždin: Puncec R.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).