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Gorica vs Hajduk Split Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, January 31, 2026)

Match Info

HNL - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 9
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Gorica		Hajduk Split

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	4.1	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.15	2.12
	3.52	3.15	2.27
	3.44	3.16	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.41	3.2	2.24	Watch
	3.5	3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.75)	3.12 ↓ (3.5)	2.15 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
26.7%

Draw
29.9%

Hajduk Split
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

25.5%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gorica (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Hajduk Split will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hajduk Split will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 50%). Hajduk (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 22. Trontelj Z. 4. Filipovic J. 45. Peric S. 19. Cabraja M. 36. Kavelj A. 8. Pozo I. 18. Fiolic I. 10. Prsir J. 20. Vrzic L. 9. Cuic F.	33. Silic T. (G) 8. Sigur N. 31. Sarlija Z. 36. Skelin M. 32. Hrgovic S. 6. Guillamon H. 23. Krovinovic F. (C) 24. Sanyang A. 37. Skoko N. 9. Rebic A. 11. Sego M.
Substitutes
7. Bakic O. 64. Epailly T. 50. Erceg A. 99. Gashi M. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 5. Les M. 24. Pavicic D. 29. Pelko V. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 11. Sule W. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	28. Brajkovic R. 34. Durdov B. 99. Fesyuk D. (G) 38. Hodak L. 7. Kalik A. 10. Livaja M. 17. Melnjak D. 4. Pajaziti A. 41. Pocrnjic I. (G) 21. Pukstas R. 14. Raci R.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Garcia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Pozo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fiolic I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
46', Skoko N. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
59', Sanyang A. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
68', Vrzic L. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
78', Guillamon H. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
78', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
79', Prsir J. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
86', Matijas D. 🟨,
90+2', Cuic F. 🟨,
90+2', Sarlija Z. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.

Gorica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hajduk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Hajduk is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hajduk: Ivusic I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gorica: Pavicic D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hajduk Split	36	20	8	8	61:36	25	68
8	Gorica	36	11	8	17	40:48	-8	41

Last Results with these Odds

Hajduk Split - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.47%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
26.01.26	Gorica - Varaždin	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Gorica - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Gorica - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gorica - Koper	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.12.25	Rijeka - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTL
- Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Hajduk Split - Istra 1961	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Hajduk Split - Široki Brijeg	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hajduk Split - Posušje	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.12.25	Hajduk Split - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
24.10.25	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:3
10.08.25	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:0
11.05.25	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:1
09.03.25	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:1
07.12.24	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0
21.09.24	Hajduk Split - Gorica	4:1
19.05.24	Hajduk Split - Gorica	2:1

Gorica - Hajduk Split: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide