Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 18

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Goytre United		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.8	3
	1.95	3.92	2.92
	2	4.17	3.07
	1.95	3.7	3
	1.94	3.98	3.01
	1.99	3.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.17)	3.9 ↑ (3.5)	3 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
46.2%

Draw
23.4%

Afan Lido
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Goytre United - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 0 - 3, Smith C. (Own goal),

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 1.

Goytre United has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Afan Lido is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Afan Lido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Afan Lido have a series of home games.

Goytre United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Goytre United won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Goytre United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
30.11.24	Cambrian United - Goytre United	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Llanelli - Goytre United	7:1 ✺
08.11.24	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
26.10.24	Goytre United - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Afan Lido
Welsh FA Cup
14.12.24	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
30.11.24	Afan Lido - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	3:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.11.24	Afan Lido - Morriston Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.24	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.08.24	Afan Lido - Goytre United	4:1
23.02.24	Afan Lido - Goytre United	1:2
08.12.23	Goytre United - Afan Lido	1:1
27.01.23	Goytre United - Afan Lido	2:5
22.10.22	Afan Lido - Goytre United	2:0
21.01.22	Goytre United - Afan Lido	2:2
17.09.21	Afan Lido - Goytre United	1:2

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